Quebec would have 20 million inhabitants today if it had maintained its fertility rate of the 1950s
By Quebec Life Campaign - Photo: deagreez/Adobe Stock
To estimate Quebec's current population if the birth rate of the 1950s had been maintained, let's proceed as follows:
1. Determine Quebec's birth rate in the 1950s:
- The total fertility rate (TFR) in Quebec in the 1950s peaked at about 4.1 children per woman.
- The crude birth rate (CBR) was around 28.9 births per 1,000 inhabitants in 1947, which is representative of the 1950s period.
2. Comparing with the current birth rate:
By 2023, the TFR in Quebec has fallen to 1.38 children per woman, one of the lowest levels in the province's history.
- The current CBR is approximately 9 births per 1,000 inhabitants.
3. Analyse demographic trends :
- In 1951, Quebec's population was approximately 4.1 million.
Today, it is estimated at around 8.7 million.
4. Estimate alternative population growth:
- If the high birth rate of the 1950s had been maintained, natural population growth would have been significantly higher.
- Using demographic growth models, we can estimate that the current population of Quebec would be between 15 and 20 million, or even more.
This means that, without the drop in the fertility rate since the 1960s, Quebec's population would be more than double its current size. The decline in the birth rate since the Quiet Revolution has therefore had a major impact on the province's demographic growth.à
Quebec Is a Victim Not of Trump, but of Its Own Choices
By Quebec Life Coalition — Photo : TravelScape/Freepik
If Quebec had maintained its birthrate from the 1950s, its current population would be nearing 20 million people. In other words, the demographic strength that once gave it weight and autonomy would today serve as a natural shield against any economic or political blackmail, whether from Ottawa or Washington. But that is not the case. Why? Because Quebecers themselves have sabotaged their future by succumbing to the illusions of hedonism and materialism.
From a Strong People to an Aging Population
In the 1950s, Quebec was a vibrant society where each family had, on average, four children. This dynamism allowed the Quebec nation to have influence on both the Canadian and international stage. Today, after decades of contraception, mass abortions, and the systematic rejection of the Christian values that once shaped our society, Quebec finds itself in a state of serious decline. With a fertility rate of just 1.4 children per woman, far below the replacement threshold, it has become a society on the path to extinction.
The United States, whether led by Donald Trump or any other president, does not need to threaten Quebec—Quebec is condemning itself. The economic blackmail that some fear—higher tariffs, forced inclusion as the 51st state, pressure on exports—only holds power because of Quebec’s own weakness. A large, rooted, and prosperous people does not fear power struggles; it dictates them. But an aging, economically dependent, and ideologically divided people can do nothing but take the blows.
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